SHOUT! FS Has Fears For The Tiers & Here, We Let It All Out

too early for tier tears?
Jeering The Tiering

The chalk board on the cobblestone footpath reads “Happy Hour 8pm – 10pm, Cocktails $13” and hoards of partygoers have clearly indulged in tonight’s special, clinking their glasses loudly underneath a sheltered deck, of sorts. It’s Friday night and everyone has logged off (not for the weekend, mind you). “Hurrah!”, they yell, as the bouncer lifts the rope and grants entry to a stunningly dapper young man. He wears a pinstriped designer suit, underneath it a perfectly pressed light blue shirt with a white collar and cuffs complemented by a dark red, double Windsor-knotted tie. The bespecled young fellow, whose hair evokes Mad Men’s Don Draper, has chosen a pair of psuedo-intellectual square frames, rounding out his image as a wanker an upwardly mobile young lawyer.

Not yet a minute has passed when, jostling for a position at the bar to order his first libation, it becomes clear that the young lawyer has won the affections of an even younger female. Unbeknownst to the lawyer, this young damsel is on a mission: legal secretary by day, minx in search of a professional beau by night. Sensing the young man before her might be the potential breadwinner for whom her heart yearns, she seductively catches his gaze, seemingly Head Over Heels and asks:

“Surprising to see a suit in here at 8:30pm, has the deal fallen over?”

The lawyer, pausing for a moment to stiffen his back to accentuate stature, responds with familiar self-assurance:

“The deals I work on don’t “fall over”, honey, I work at a top-tier law firm.”

The she-cat, showing a slight grimace that conveys the frustration of a fruitless serenade, offers the retort:

“Well, let’s call this the first “deal” you’ve watched fall over – I’m looking for a global lawyer, not a top tier.”

Fears for Tiers

Argh … the vicissitudes of corporate life; there’s always someone better, someone more important. But now, the lines between the best and most important in Australia and their international equivalent, or the “Top Tier”, the “Magic Circle” and “BigLaw”, are being blurred in our own backyard. Australia is apparently the battlefront in a race for global legal supremacy and it feels like Everybody Wants To Rule The World!

Okay, it isn’t the Middle Eastern Spring, but clearly something major is changing in Australian legal circles and it is happening very quickly. By now, most of us are well and truly apprised of the arrivals. We wont regurgitate what we’ve already written elsewhere, save to say that Australia is now home to DLA Piper, Allen & Overy, Norton Rose, Clifford Chance, Squire Sanders, Ashurst and soon, King & Wood. Interestingly, for a much longer period, we’ve also been home to offices of several other oft-overlooked major international firms; firms that feature in the world’s Top 100 by revenue. According to our research, which is based on FY2010 revenue statistics, the following Top 100 global law firms now have a presence in Australia (with the firm’s position within the Top 100 in brackets):

  1. Baker & McKenzie (#1)
  2. Skadden Arps (#2)
  3. Clifford Chance (#3)
  4. Allen & Overy (#7)
  5. Jones Day (#8)
  6. Sidley Austin (#10)
  7. Sullivan Cromwell (#18)
  8. DLA Piper (#24)
  9. Squire Sanders (#61)
  10. Norton Rose (#67)
  11. Ashurst (#72)
  12. Minter Ellison (#83)
  13. Mallesons (#87)
  14. Allens Arthur Robinson (#90)
  15. Freehills (#91)
  16. Clayton Utz (#97)
  17. Dorsey & Whitney (#100)

That’s right, despite the hyperbole attending recent domestic market arrivals, there’s still only a piddling 17 of the World’s Top 100 firms located in Australia. Less than half of those are within the Top 50. We’re still not that important. Not by a long shot. In fact, the Australian Legal Services Industry is “only” worth about $20 billion each year and informed analysts recently predicted modest growth of about 5% per annum for the next few years. It is certainly a far cry from the enormous revenues earned in various jurisdictions to Australia’s north. So who cares?

Well, we do, and we still haven’t read any commentary which adequately describes what is happening in Australia. So we thought we would try to work it out ourselves and jot down some musings.

Our first conclusion is that whatever the importance of Australia’s homogenous legal firms may be, it is shrinking each day. Our second, but correlated, conclusion is that the phrase “Top Tier” is no longer a reliable characterisation that people can use to classify law firms in Australia. Crucially, for our swashbuckling corporate lawyer looking dapper at the bar, our third conclusion is that the days of doe-eyed “I work in the Top Tier” one-liners are over (if, cough, they ever started).

Clearing The Tiering

Quite remarkably (to our minds, at least), we’ve never really opined on the phenomenon of the “Top Tier”. Sure, we’ve written plenty about the firms in and about the Top Tier, but we’ve never really dissected what Top Tier status means, who can claim it, and who cannot.  Until very recently, most legal commentators have constituted Australia’s “Top Tier” with the following 6 law firms:

  1. Minter Ellison
  2. Freehills
  3. Mallesons
  4. AAR
  5. Clayton Utz
  6. Blake Dawson

Before our readers bombard our inbox with complaints about the ordering we’ve given to the Top Tier, we should note that we have been guided by the FY2011 revenue statistics, which, we always thought, was how informed analysts interpolated the “Top Tier” and the “Mid Tier”. Indeed, there is a deep revenue fissure between the last-placed Top Tier firm Blake Dawson ($380m) and the first-placed Mid-Tier firm Corrs Chambers Westgarth ($252million, closely follwed by Norton Rose on $241million). However, almost all industry commentators would regard Minter Ellison as much less of a certifiable “Top Tier” firm than, for example, Gilbert + Tobin or Corrs Chambers Westgarth (or even Arnold Bloch Leibler). This naturally raises the conundrum of whether we can rely on revenue as an appropriate integer to sort the Tops from the Mids, and the Mids from the Boutiques. But whatever your thoughts on the appropriateness of the Top Tier as we’ve framed it, we think one thing is certain, it is no longer correct or even relevant.

The Gears of Tiers

There are any number of ways to review the law firms operating in Australia (we certainly invite your views in the comments below). For the most part, we think the distinction between Top Tier and Mid Tier firms has existed for the benefit of outsiders looking in, rather than for those inside looking out (with the exception of the occasional big-noting Friday night wanker). There are university students, graduates, laterals, recruiters, new clients, defecting clients and prospective employers all looking for a metric to categorise the quality or “prestige” of a law firm and this has, until now, more or less been achievable through the convenient state of the revenue ledger. We’ve had six firms that are clearly “ahead of the rest” in terms of revenue, followed by another 10 or so that are clearly ahead of another batch of firms, together the Top and Mid Tiers.

However, those days are over. Slowly, but inexorably, firms with global profit pools that are headquartered abroad are moving into Australia. Of the 17 firms within the Top 100 Global Firms we’ve listed above with offices in Australia, several have access to the firm’s global profit pool (if any). Our unverified Songs views From The Big Chair are as follows:

  1. Baker & McKenzie (Australian profit pool)
  2. Skadden Arps (Global profit pool)
  3. Clifford Chance (Australian profit pool until 2013, global profit pool thereafter if CPs met)
  4. Allen & Overy (Global profit pool)
  5. Jones Day (Global profit pool)
  6. Sidley Austin (Global profit pool)
  7. Sullivan Cromwell (Global profit pool)
  8. DLA Piper (Asian profit pool)
  9. Squire Sanders (Global profit pool)
  10. Norton Rose (Australian profit pool)
  11. Ashurst (Australian profit pool until 2014, global profit pool thereafter if CPs met)
  12. Minter Ellison (Federated Australian profit pool)
  13. Mallesons (Australian profit pool)
  14. Allens Arthur Robinson (Australian profit pool)
  15. Freehills (Australian profit pool)
  16. Clayton Utz (Australian profit pool)
  17. Dorsey & Whitney (Global profit pool)

If our speculation is correct, students/graduates/laterals need to cumulatively re-gear their attitudes toward the “tiers”. Skadden Arps, for example, is almost incontrovertibly New York’s most prestigious law firm, yet it barely musters a whimper in university corridors. Clifford Chance and particularly Allen & Overy are now emerging is dire competitive threats to Top Tier law firms in terms of recruitment. We have already reported that Jones Day is turning its Sydney office into a “full service offering” and we expect this means that it will be substantially increasing the size of its workforce; something we expect to be replicated at Sidley Austin, Sullivan Cromwell, Dorsey & Whitney, and other smaller (but still large by Australian standards) global firms like Holman Fenwick, which opened a Perth office in September.

The Global Lawyer

All of this, we think, means a drammatic re-gearing of the tiering and what it means to be an elite lawyer in Australia. Assuming it hasn’t already occurred, before too long, we think Clifford Chance, Allen & Overy and Jones Day (possibly also Skadden Arps if it embarks on a period of expansion) will replace Mallesons, Freehills and AAR as La Nouvelle Vague for all those “outsiders looking in”. The university students, the graduates, the laterals, the recruiters, the new clients, the defecting clients and the prospective employers – all of them – will soon be recalibrating their perceptions of the “best” law firm in Australia, and, eventually, where the “best” lawyers can be found.

Which gets us back to Friday night drinks, on the artificial cobblestone of Perth, where a slightly taller vision of professional perfection looks at a chalk board and realises he’s missed tonight’s drinks special. He’s slowly closing an umbrella emblazoned with A&O signage when his eyes meet the sultry, purposeful gaze of a minx on a mission, sewing The Seeds of Love…

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